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2024-12-14 10:27:00

Institution: A small interest rate cut by the European Central Bank may have a neutral impact on euro credit. Analysts of Yuxin Bank said in a report that the European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut tonight, which should have a neutral impact on euro-denominated credit. Analysts said that if the central bank cuts interest rates by 50 basis points further, it is unlikely to be beneficial to euro credit, because it will raise concerns about economic growth in the euro zone. According to the data of LSEG Refinitiv, the possibility that the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points is 83%, while the possibility of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 17%. Yuxin Bank said that as the European Central Bank continues to cut interest rates, the euro credit spread may fluctuate slightly or tighten slightly in the coming months.The monkeypox vaccine with independent intellectual property rights in China was approved for clinical use. On December 10th, the monkeypox vaccine jointly developed by China Bio-Beijing Institute of Biological Products and China Center for Disease Control and Prevention received the approval notice of drug clinical trial issued by National Medical Products Administration, and it was registered and classified as Class 1.2 innovative vaccine. The vaccine is an innovative vaccine independently developed by scientists in China with completely independent intellectual property rights, which is expected to play an important role in the prevention and control of diseases caused by monkeypox virus in China. (China Biology)Zhu Min, former vice president of IMF: Domestic consumption, manufacturing and green transformation will become the growth drivers of China's economy. Recently, at the China 2024 Annual Meeting and the 22nd Financial Billboard, Zhu Min, former vice president of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that one of the three traditional locomotives of China's economic growth is infrastructure investment; The second is the real estate industry, and the third is export. The transformation of the whole economic structure needs a new growth impetus. Zhu Min said that this new growth driver is, first, based on domestic consumption, and second, insisting on doing a good job in domestic manufacturing and doing high technology; The third is green transformation. We will continue to take the road of sustainable development of green transformation in China and improve our core competitiveness.


This year's 2 trillion special bonds for replacing hidden debts have all disclosed that the planned issuance amount of six provinces exceeds 10 million. According to the documents disclosed on China Bond Information Network, Beijing plans to issue 4.7 billion yuan of special bonds for refinancing to replace existing hidden debts, of which the issuance scale of 3-year, 7-year and 10-year special bonds for refinancing is 800 million yuan, 2.725 billion yuan and 1.175 billion yuan respectively. It is worth mentioning that since November 12, the total amount of refinancing special bonds to be issued or issued to replace existing implicit debts has reached 2 trillion yuan. This means that all the refinancing special bonds used by local governments to replace hidden debts have been disclosed this year. (澎湃)Mackler M, Governor of the Bank of Canada: (Regarding the potential tariff policy) We can't make policies based on what may happen. If the (US) tariffs are implemented as promised, it will cause serious damage to the Canadian economy.Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.


Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: Since the last interest rate decision, the inflation rate has been lower than expected. The development of the Swiss franc is still an important factor.Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: We still have ammunition left over in terms of interest rates. Inflationary pressure has dropped in the medium term. Our main tool is the policy interest rate, through which we can influence the economy and exchange rate.U.S. and cloth oil fell 0.3 USD in short term, and now they are reported at 70.08 USD/barrel and 73.50 USD/barrel respectively.

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